Royal Spades

The Rev came back from that and won the game

I would have called too... over 30,000 to 1 odds to hit the royal and daurk slammed it. But to be fair, he had the odds to call just for the flush. hella hand.

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Sensei Funyuns wrote:Flop and turn
Odds 46.00 to one ..one out
Probability 2.13

With one out (K of spades) for the royal that's right (2.1%) for the turn card. With 2 cards to come I get about 4.3%.

As for his winning the hand: any K (3) or any spade (9). With 12 outs he has about 45% to win with 2 cards to come and could be runner runner JJ or runner runner 98. Of course none of that ever happens in DD.

I wrote this in notepad before bed while sotted and posted it this morning while toasted so take it all with the obligatory grain of salt.

The right shove, the right call.